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items:forecasting [2020/07/20 03:51] – [Use historic AMC] Mark Glover | items:forecasting [2023/12/12 14:48] (current) – [Where does mSupply use forecasts?] Gary Willetts | ||
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- | {{indexmenu_n> | + | {{indexmenu_n> |
- | ====== 4.20. Forecasting ====== | + | ====== 4.21. Forecasting ====== |
- | + | <WRAP center round important | |
- | <WRAP center round box 60%> | + | In mSupply, |
- | Updated: version 3.2, May 2014 (This functionality not available in earlier versions) | + | |
- | </ | + | |
- | + | ||
- | <WRAP center round info 60%> | + | |
- | In mSupply, consumption is defined as stock that is **// | + | |
</ | </ | ||
- | By default, mSupply uses the assumption that future consumption will continue at the same level as consumption over a given historic period. | + | By default, mSupply uses the assumption that future consumption will continue at the same level as consumption over a given historic period. |
- | * Natural | + | * Excessive, sudden |
* An epidemic causing increased demand | * An epidemic causing increased demand | ||
* Historical usage being inaccurate due to operator error or out of stocks. | * Historical usage being inaccurate due to operator error or out of stocks. | ||
* A change to Standard Treatment Guidelines meaning a new treatment is being introduced, and there is no historical data | * A change to Standard Treatment Guidelines meaning a new treatment is being introduced, and there is no historical data | ||
- | * Morbidity and mortality data has been obtained and used to calculate requirements. mSupply provides a number of alternative methods for making a forecast of future consumption. | + | * Morbidity and mortality data has been obtained and used to calculate requirements. |
/*===== Worked Example ===== | /*===== Worked Example ===== | ||
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*/ | */ | ||
- | mSupply | + | ===== Item Usage tab ===== |
+ | |||
+ | In the mSupply | ||
+ | |||
+ | <WRAP center round alert 60%> | ||
+ | <wrap em> | ||
+ | |||
+ | <WRAP center round info 60%> | ||
+ | If a user has the **View items** permission but not the **Edit items** permission, they are still able to use the functionality described here to set forecasts for items in ' | ||
+ | </ | ||
{{ : | {{ : | ||
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In the **Forecasting** section of the window shown above there are four options: | In the **Forecasting** section of the window shown above there are four options: | ||
- | ===== Use Historic | + | ===== Use historic |
This is the default option, and is the recommended method. During the later quantification stage ([[tender_management: | This is the default option, and is the recommended method. During the later quantification stage ([[tender_management: | ||
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===== Use historic AMC increased by a factor of X % ===== | ===== Use historic AMC increased by a factor of X % ===== | ||
- | Using this option, mSupply will still calculate requirements based on historical AMC, but increased by the percentage you have entered. | + | Using this option, mSupply will still calculate requirements based on historical AMC, but increased by the percentage you have entered. |
- | + | ||
- | <WRAP center round alert 60%> | + | |
- | **BEWARE!** | + | |
===== Use a fixed, estimated AMC ===== | ===== Use a fixed, estimated AMC ===== | ||
This option allows you to specify a particular amount that will be applied to all future months. | This option allows you to specify a particular amount that will be applied to all future months. | ||
- | |||
- | <WRAP center round alert 60%> | ||
- | **BEWARE!** | ||
===== Use projection (A or B) ===== | ===== Use projection (A or B) ===== | ||
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<WRAP center round alert 60%> | <WRAP center round alert 60%> | ||
- | If you are using projections, | + | If you are using projections |
</ | </ | ||
- | |||
- | <WRAP center round alert 60%> | ||
- | **BEWARE!** | ||
===== Where does mSupply use forecasts? ===== | ===== Where does mSupply use forecasts? ===== | ||
Any time mSupply produces a suggested order quantity, it will consider each item and use the forecast options for that item to produce a forecast. This includes: | Any time mSupply produces a suggested order quantity, it will consider each item and use the forecast options for that item to produce a forecast. This includes: | ||
* [[tender_management: | * [[tender_management: | ||
- | * The suggested order report | + | * [[reports: |
* [[purchasing: | * [[purchasing: | ||
\\ | \\ | ||
\\ | \\ | ||
- | | // Previous: | + | | // Previous: |
---- struct data ---- | ---- struct data ---- | ||
+ | pagestatus.status | ||
---- | ---- | ||