items:forecasting

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items:forecasting [2021/08/14 02:37] – [4.20. Forecasting] Mark Gloveritems:forecasting [2023/12/12 14:48] (current) – [Where does mSupply use forecasts?] Gary Willetts
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-====== 4.20. Forecasting ======+====== 4.21. Forecasting ======
  
 <WRAP center round important 60%> <WRAP center round important 60%>
-In mSupply, 'consumption' is defined as stock that is **//issued//**.  Stock lost due to damage, expiry, etc. (managed through [[items:inventory_adjustments|Inventory Adjustments]]) are not included in 'consumption' During the later quantification calculation, there are options to include or exclude [[issuing_goods:transferring_goods_to_another_store|Stock Transfers]] and [[items:manufactured_items|Builds]] in the consumption calculation.+In mSupply, 'consumption' is defined as stock that is **//issued//**.  Stock lost due to damage, expiry, etc. is managed through [[items:inventory_adjustments|Inventory Adjustments]] and <wrap em>is not</wrap> included in 'consumption' During the later quantification calculation, there are options to include or exclude [[issuing_goods:transferring_goods_to_another_store|Stock Transfers]] and [[items:manufactured_items|Builds]] in the consumption calculation.
 </WRAP> </WRAP>
  
-By default, mSupply uses the assumption that future consumption will continue at the same level as consumption over a given historic period.   Our experience is that in almost all situations, this method, combined with a conservative provision for buffer stock, yields very good to excellent results.  However, in certain situations you may want to provide your own forecasts. Reasons for this could include factors such as:+By default, mSupply uses the assumption that future consumption will continue at the same level as consumption over a given historic period.   Our experience is that in almost all situations, this method, combined with a conservative provision for buffer stock, yields very good to excellent results.  However, in certain situations you will want to provide your own forecasts. Reasons for this could include factors such as:
   * Excessive, sudden population increase   * Excessive, sudden population increase
   * An epidemic causing increased demand   * An epidemic causing increased demand
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   * A change to Standard Treatment Guidelines meaning a new treatment is being introduced, and there is no historical data   * A change to Standard Treatment Guidelines meaning a new treatment is being introduced, and there is no historical data
   * Morbidity and mortality data has been obtained and used to calculate requirements.   * Morbidity and mortality data has been obtained and used to calculate requirements.
- 
-mSupply provides a number of alternative methods for making a forecast of future consumption.  These other methods are detailed below. 
- 
- 
-<WRAP center round alert 60%> 
-<wrap em>BEWARE!</wrap>  Once set, these options will continue to govern for every forecast generated by mSupply for this item until you change it!</WRAP> 
- 
-<WRAP center round info 60%> 
-If a user has the **View items** permission but not the **Edit items** permission, they are still able to use the functionality described here to set forecasts for items in 'this' store (that they are logged in to) since this makes no changes to the properties of the item itself. 
-</WRAP> 
  
 /*===== Worked Example ===== /*===== Worked Example =====
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 */ */
  
-mSupply allows you to choose to use from a range of forecasting methods on a per item basis.  To choose a different forecasting method for any given itemfind the item you are interested in, then open it's details view, and choose the **Usage** tab:+===== Item Usage tab ===== 
 + 
 +In the mSupply Item Usage tab, you can choose to use from a range of forecasting methods on a per item, per store basis.  These methods are detailed below. 
 + 
 +<WRAP center round alert 60%> 
 +<wrap em>BEWARE!</wrap>  Once setthese options will continue to govern for every forecast generated by mSupply for this item in this store until you change it!</WRAP> 
 + 
 +<WRAP center round info 60%> 
 +If a user has the **View items** permission but not the **Edit items** permission, they are still able to use the functionality described here to set forecasts for items in 'this' store (that they are logged in to) since this makes no changes to the properties of the item itself. 
 +</WRAP>
  
 {{ :items:item_input_usage.png |}} {{ :items:item_input_usage.png |}}
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 Any time mSupply produces a suggested order quantity, it will consider each item and use the forecast options for that item to produce a forecast. This includes: Any time mSupply produces a suggested order quantity, it will consider each item and use the forecast options for that item to produce a forecast. This includes:
   * [[tender_management:introduction#creating_a_new_tender|Creating a new tender]]   * [[tender_management:introduction#creating_a_new_tender|Creating a new tender]]
-  * The suggested order report+  * [[reports:purchasing#suggested_order_quantities|The suggested order report]]
   * [[purchasing:ordering_from_suppliers#creating_a_new_calculated_purchase_order|Creating a new purchase order]]   * [[purchasing:ordering_from_suppliers#creating_a_new_calculated_purchase_order|Creating a new purchase order]]
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-|  //  Previous:  **[[items:item_units_and_item_accounts]]** | | Next: **[[names:]]** //  |+|  //  Previous:  **[[items:item_units_and_item_accounts]]** | | Next: **[[items:replenishments_setup]]** //  |
  
 ---- struct data ---- ---- struct data ----
  • Last modified: 2021/08/14 02:37
  • by Mark Glover